The ledger, filtered
15 claims of 84
0/20Nothing scored yet
0Confirmed
0Partial
0Wrong
15Still open
Every approved prediction, timestamped to the second it was said and scored against public evidence. A partial counts half. Filters are shareable: they live in the URL.
0 of 20 resolved. A success rate for this slice of the ledger appears at 20 scored verdicts, a floor announced before scoring began. Until then, counts only.
StatusStatus: All (84)Status: Pending (40)Status: Confirmed (26)Status: Partial (7)Status: Wrong (10)Status: Unverifiable (0)Status: Superseded (0)
- JL-022said 11 July 2026In a few weeks time, there will be a massive global emergency including food shortages, inflation, and a skyrocketing oil price.
Status The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Overdue31 Aug 2026 - JL-065said 21 Apr 2026Pending21 Apr 2027
- JL-088said 9 Apr 2026Pending31 Dec 2026
- JL-075said 7 Apr 2026If the United States attacks Iranian civilian infrastructure such as power plants, Iran will retaliate by striking GCC oil fields, desalination plants, and universities.
Status The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Overdue7 June 2026 - JL-076said 7 Apr 2026Pending31 Dec 2026
- JL-061said 7 Apr 2026If the United States destroys Iranian power plants, Iran will commit to total war aimed at destroying the American military presence in the Middle East.
Status The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Overdue7 July 2026 - JL-073said 7 Apr 2026Pending7 Oct 2026
- JL-074said 7 Apr 2026If Iran strikes GCC energy infrastructure in retaliation, the world will lose 20 percent of its energy supply.
Status The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Overdue7 July 2026 - JL-036said 2 Apr 2026If the war continues and ground forces are used, the world will run out of oil by mid-April 2026, on a JP Morgan estimate.
Status The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Overdue15 Apr 2026 - JL-032said 24 Mar 2026Pending24 Mar 2046
- JL-070said 12 Mar 2026Pending12 Mar 2030
- JL-071said 12 Mar 2026Pending12 Mar 2028
- JL-072said 12 Mar 2026Pending12 Mar 2030
- JL-078said 3 Mar 2026The US and Israel will continue their air campaign against Tehran despite its strategic ineffectiveness.
Status The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Overdue3 June 2026 - JL-079said 3 Mar 2026Pending3 Mar 2027
Still reading. 15 of these are unresolved and will be scored when their evidence is in.How a claim is scored