The ledger, filtered

2 claims of 84

0/20Nothing scored yet

0Confirmed

0Partial

0Wrong

2Still open

Every approved prediction, timestamped to the second it was said and scored against public evidence. A partial counts half. Filters are shareable: they live in the URL.

0 of 20 resolved. A success rate for this slice of the ledger appears at 20 scored verdicts, a floor announced before scoring began. Until then, counts only.

StatusAll (84)Pending (40)Confirmed (26)Partial (7)Wrong (10)Unverifiable (0)Superseded (0)

ThemeAll AI Bubble and Nationalisation Argentina Ascendancy Empire in Decline: US Institutions Forever War: Energy Hard Money and Debasement Rearmament and War Economy

YearAll 2026 2025 2024

JL-086said 18 Dec 2025
The United States will go to war with Iran, causing devastating damage to both countries.
Prof Jiang Xueqin 30:57 watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 18 Dec 2027Forever War: EnergyEmpire in Decline: US Institutions
Pending18 Dec 2027
JL-024said 29 Aug 2025
By the time current young people retire, there will be no money left in the pension fund for them.
Prof Jiang Xueqin 36:18 watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 1 Jan 2070Empire in Decline: US Institutions
Pending1 Jan 2070

Still reading. 2 of these are unresolved and will be scored when their evidence is in.How a claim is scored