JL-068 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said
With Raisi dead, Mojtaba Khamenei is the most likely person to become Iran's next supreme leader.
Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 24 May 2024. Our assessment, on the public evidence linked below, is confirmed.
What Prof Jiang Xueqin said
“gone mosta Ki is most likely to be the next”
Our assessment
Settled early and in the forecaster's favour. Ali Khamenei was killed in the opening joint US and Israeli strikes on Tehran on 28 February 2026, and the 88-member Assembly of Experts named his son Mojtaba Khamenei supreme leader on 8 March 2026, three and a half years before the claim's deadline.
Evidence
This is our opinion, reached from the quote alongside it and the evidence linked here. How we score.
Verdict history 1
- Issued automatically by staged-researchPending changed to Confirmed
Settled early and in the forecaster's favour. Ali Khamenei was killed in the opening joint US and Israeli strikes on Tehran on 28 February 2026, and the 88-member Assembly of Experts named his son Mojtaba Khamenei supreme leader on 8 March 2026, three and a half years before the claim's deadline.