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TimestampedLedger live84 on the record43 scored

JL-018 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

Trump will win the November 2024 US presidential election.

Confirmedjudged 3 August 2026

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 17 May 2024. Our assessment, on the public evidence linked below, is confirmed.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

making the prediction that he will win in November
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 0:12 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Our assessment

Trump won the 5 November 2024 election with 312 electoral votes to Harris's 226 and 77,302,580 popular votes to her 75,017,613 in the official FEC tally, comfortably inside the 29 November deadline.

This is our opinion, reached from the quote alongside it and the evidence linked here. How we score.

Verdict history 1

  1. reviewed batch, 3 August 2026
    Pending changed to Confirmed

    Trump won the 5 November 2024 election with 312 electoral votes to Harris's 226 and 77,302,580 popular votes to her 75,017,613 in the official FEC tally, comfortably inside the 29 November deadline.

Restated in other lectures

  • Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.