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TimestampedLedger live84 on the record43 scored

JL-019 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

Trump will choose Nikki Haley as his vice-presidential running mate.

Wrongjudged 3 August 2026

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 17 May 2024. Our assessment, on the public evidence linked below, is wrong.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

I'll make the bet that he picks Nikki Hy
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 40:03 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Our assessment

Trump named Senator JD Vance of Ohio as his running mate on 15 July 2024, and Vance went on to receive 312 electoral votes for vice president. Trump had already posted publicly on 11 May 2024, six days before this video was published, that Haley was not under consideration.

This is our opinion, reached from the quote alongside it and the evidence linked here. How we score.

Verdict history 1

  1. reviewed batch, 3 August 2026
    Pending changed to Wrong

    Trump named Senator JD Vance of Ohio as his running mate on 15 July 2024, and Vance went on to receive 312 electoral votes for vice president. Trump had already posted publicly on 11 May 2024, six days before this video was published, that Haley was not under consideration.

Restated in other lectures

  • Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.
  • Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.
  • Restated on this date. Briefly published separately as JL-044 on 3 August 2026 and folded the same day.