JL-059 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said
The US-Iran war will cause high oil prices and inflation that American consumers must absorb.
Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 18 June 2025. We have not assessed it yet; it should be judgeable by 31 December 2025.
What Prof Jiang Xueqin said
“high oil prices and inflation that this war would inevitably cause”
Not yet assessed
Returned to pending on 9 September 2026. This verdict was issued automatically against a deadline of 31 December 2025 that this project set, not one the speaker stated: he named no time when he made the claim. Scoring him on a clock he did not start is not a fair test, so the verdict is withdrawn rather than left standing. The claim itself is unchanged and remains open.
Expected to be judgeable by
We publish no view until there is public evidence to settle it. How we score.
Verdict history 2
- Issued automatically by staged-researchPending changed to Wrong
By the 30 December 2025 deadline the opposite had happened: Brent averaged 62.54 dollars in December 2025, down from 71.44 dollars in June 2025, US pump prices fell to 3.02 dollars a gallon, and CPI inflation was 2.7 percent, identical to June 2025. The mechanism did arrive later, with Brent at 117.29 dollars in April 2026 and CPI at 4.2 percent in May 2026, so the reasoning was directionally sound but roughly six months outside the window.
- Issued by the editorWrong changed to Pending
Returned to pending on 9 September 2026. This verdict was issued automatically against a deadline of 31 December 2025 that this project set, not one the speaker stated: he named no time when he made the claim. Scoring him on a clock he did not start is not a fair test, so the verdict is withdrawn rather than left standing. The claim itself is unchanged and remains open.