JL-056 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said
Nuclear weapons will not be used at any point in the US-Israel-Iran war.
Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 18 June 2025. Our assessment, on the public evidence linked below, is confirmed.
What Prof Jiang Xueqin said
“will nuclear weapons be used in this war at any point? And my intuition tells me it won't be”
Our assessment
No nuclear weapon was used at any point. SIPRI's yearbook of 8 June 2026 still lists nine nuclear-armed states with Iran not among them, and both the June 2025 and February 2026 campaigns were fought entirely with conventional munitions. This was a high base rate call rather than a contested one.
Evidence
This is our opinion, reached from the quote alongside it and the evidence linked here. How we score.
Verdict history 1
- Issued automatically by staged-researchPending changed to Confirmed
No nuclear weapon was used at any point. SIPRI's yearbook of 8 June 2026 still lists nine nuclear-armed states with Iran not among them, and both the June 2025 and February 2026 campaigns were fought entirely with conventional munitions. This was a high base rate call rather than a contested one.