Skip to main content
TimestampedLedger live84 on the record43 scored

JL-066 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

If Trump becomes president for a second term, the United States will very likely go to war with Iran.

Pendingdue 20 January 2029

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 22 May 2024. We have not assessed it yet; it should be judgeable by 20 January 2029.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

likelihood that the United States will go to war with Iran
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 0:24 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Not yet assessed

Expected to be judgeable by

We publish no view until there is public evidence to settle it. How we score.