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TimestampedLedger live84 on the record43 scored

JL-007 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

Despite current internal divisions, most Iranians would resist a foreign invasion of Iran.

Pendingdue 8 May 2030

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 24 April 2024. We have not assessed it yet; it should be judgeable by 8 May 2030.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

I think that most IR Ians would resist in an invasion
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 16:29 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Not yet assessed

Expected to be judgeable by

We publish no view until there is public evidence to settle it. How we score.

What settles this

Settled only if a foreign invasion of Iran occurs: most Iranians resist it, or they do not.

  • Resistance to invasion Not observed

    A foreign invasion of Iran occurs and most Iranians resist it

0 of 1 named condition observed

Condition readings are our assessment, drawn from the linked sources; the verdict itself is decided by a human when the claim settles.